Short-term Trading Idea FX EUR/CAD – Bear Speculation: Development on 31st August Ideas

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Trading opportunities for currency pair: the euro is under pressure since market participants expect the ECB to extend its QE program. Due to these expectations and the stable oil price around 50 USD, expect the euro to fall to 1.4490 and below. A close of the weekly candle above 1.4930 will stop any fall.

FOREX GBP USD: Expected Consolidation in Wide Range. 16.10.2015

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Due to the euro, the pound had a volatile day. The pound received support from the euro/pound cross throughout the day when the ECB’s Ewald Nowotny spoke. The pound fell after the US stats came out in the evening. By renewing the minimum, the price returned back to 1.55. The pound stabilized at 1.5470. With such a movement pattern, we could see either a fall or a rise. I’ve gone for a fall to 1.5420 to 1.5470. The daily trend line hasn’t been broken.

FOREX EUR USD: Bull Takeover on Daily. 16.10.2015

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Yesterday’s Trading:
The euro/dollar’s 5-day growth has ground to a halt. Trading in Europe saw the euro down due to the ECB’s Ewald Nowotny sticking his oar in and then the US stats came out in the evening which added to the fall. Nowotny suggested that the ECB should adopt additional measures to aid inflation growth. The US’ CPI for September was down slightly on August, but it remained unchanged when expressed annually. The labor market data turned out better than expected.

FOREX EUR USD: Left the Range on Weekly – New Target: 1.1620. 15.10.2015

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Yesterday’s Trading:
On Wednesday the USD was down against the key pairs after weak retail sales data and manufacturing inflation figures for the US came out. The data was worse than expected. Previous retail sales figures were reassessed downwards. The key index for industrial prices fell to a minimum since January and the PPI was negative. The data has signalled a slowing of US economic growth and has lessened the likelihood of an interest rate hike in the near future.

FOREX GBP USD: Pound/Dollar: Bulls Take Rate to Trend Line. 15.10.2015

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The UK pound hit the jackpot yesterday. During the day it strengthened on UK inflation data and in the evening it strengthened on weak US statistics. In the end it was up against the dollar by 2 figures. Since the pound/dollar reached the U3, I think we’ll see a correction after a renewal of the maximum, Furthermore, the pair has reached the trend line on the daily (see daily graph). If it doesn’t fall, it’s likely we’ll see the forming of a saw along the U3 (still two peaks). According to the price pattern on the daily, the pound could reach 1.56 against the dollar.

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